Is the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania now safe for Democrats?
Here’s what Silver wrote:
“Finally, in Pennsylvania, Republicans were in need of a strong candidate to seriously challenge the Democratic incumbent, Bob Casey, who is fairly popular. Instead, their field failed to coalesce and they picked an inexperienced nominee, the businessman Tom Smith, in their primary in April. We classify the race as Safe Democrat, rather than Likely Democrat as before.”
What do you think about Smith’s chances versus Casey?
Is this a slam-dunk for Democrats or can Smith surprise again, like he did in the primary?
— John Guerriero